{"id":763,"date":"2007-04-12T09:26:21","date_gmt":"2007-04-12T15:26:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.roughtype.com\/wp\/?p=763"},"modified":"2007-04-12T09:26:21","modified_gmt":"2007-04-12T15:26:21","slug":"you_aint_going","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.roughtype.com\/?p=763","title":{"rendered":"You ain&#8217;t going nowhere"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>So who has the upper hand in the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2007\/04\/12\/technology\/12myspace.html?ex=1334030400&#038;en=5b8c436119187c48&#038;ei=5088&#038;partner=rssnyt&#038;emc=rss\">tussle<\/a> between MySpace and Photobucket? Mike Arrington <a href=\"http:\/\/www.techcrunch.com\/2007\/04\/12\/can-photobucket-survive-without-myspace\/\">argues<\/a> that Photobucket has the stronger lock-in: &#8220;many MySpace\/Photobucket users will simply leave MySpace and go to one of its many competitors rather than lose the ability to embed their Photobucket media. Re-creating a profile at another social network takes a lot less time than re-uploading hours of video. In the end, Photobucket could prove to be stickier than MySpace.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>I don&#8217;t buy that. While it&#8217;s true that for some (small but perhaps important) minority of MySpace customers, the time-related switching cost of leaving Photobucket would be higher than the time-related switching cost of leaving MySpace, time is not the only factor. There&#8217;s also the network effect: How much of the value of the site comes from the other people using it? The network effect would seem to be much higher for MySpace &#8211; it&#8217;s all about the friends, right? &#8211; than for Photobucket. MySpace gives you an address; Photobucket gives you a tool. Unless there&#8217;s a mass exodus from MySpace, which is highly unlikely at this point (yes, that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.roughtype.com\/archives\/2006\/05\/remember_myspac.php\">contradicts<\/a> something I wrote a year ago), the total switching cost for leaving a popular social network like MySpace will be much higher than for leaving a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.roughtype.com\/archives\/2007\/04\/the_sharecroppe.php\">tool-maker<\/a> like Photobucket.<\/p>\n<p>A lot of people will buy a new phone even if it means reprogramming all their automatic-dial numbers. Switching phone numbers is a much bigger deal, even if it&#8217;s &#8220;easier.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>I think Dare Obasanjo <a href=\"http:\/\/www.25hoursaday.com\/weblog\/PermaLink.aspx?guid=25ac593a-7357-45f4-b247-c332d84f51a3\">gets it<\/a> right:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>The key question is whether the lock-in from a social network site like MySpace (where all your friends are) is more significant than the lock-in from having my media stored in a particular photo hosting or video hosting site. If MySpace has only blocked new embeds from PhotoBucket then I&#8217;m willing to bet that it is more likely that users will simply pick a new media hosting provider (e.g. YouTube for videos, Flickr for photos) than that they&#8217;ll switch to Facebook or Windows Live Spaces because they are too tied to PhotoBucket. If I were PhotoBucket, I&#8217;d work with MySpace and either (i) agree on how MySpace gets a revshare of PhotoBucket ads shown on their site or (ii) make it easy for MySpace to filter out the embeds with ads (which are a minority) and allow other embedded media from PhotoBucket pass through.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>What this affair reveals is that even in the supposedly open world of Web 2.0, competitive advantage still seems to be measured by the strength of a site&#8217;s or a service&#8217;s lock-in and the size of the switching costs it imposes on its &#8220;members.&#8221; It&#8217;s still as much, or more, about erecting barriers as it is about knocking them down.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>So who has the upper hand in the tussle between MySpace and Photobucket? Mike Arrington argues that Photobucket has the stronger lock-in: &#8220;many MySpace\/Photobucket users will simply leave MySpace and go to one of its many competitors rather than lose the ability to embed their Photobucket media. Re-creating a profile at another social network takes [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-763","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.roughtype.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/763","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.roughtype.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.roughtype.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.roughtype.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.roughtype.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=763"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.roughtype.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/763\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.roughtype.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=763"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.roughtype.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=763"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.roughtype.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=763"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}